Pevidém vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
6º
3
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 47 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 42 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 41 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 40 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 39 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 39 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 25 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 24 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 84.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
PEV
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PEV
3 - 2
TIR
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 2
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
42 | 89 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 2
PEV
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 4
VIA
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
DUM
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 1
JOA
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
DUM
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 2
VSC
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |