Petrolul Ploiesti vs Politehnica Iași analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
15º
7º
20
8º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 52 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
5.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 44 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 31 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 30 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 26 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
53.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46.5% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
CLU
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
UTA
3 - 1
PET
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PET
4 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STB
1 - 1
PET
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Iași
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
2 - 1
CSM
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
UCL
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
UTA
0 - 0
CSM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 0
CSU
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |