Petone vs Havelock North Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PET
4 - 0
WSU
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
NAP
9%
13%
77%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 0
PET
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 4
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
HNW
93%
6%
1%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
4 - 1
HNW
70%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |