Second Division round 4

Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic analysis

Peterhead Forfar Athletic
56 ELO 56
-8.5% Tilt 7.6%
4335º General ELO ranking 4687º
49º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Peterhead
27.4%
Draw
32.8%
Forfar Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
+19%
-27%
Forfar Athletic

ELO progression

Peterhead
Forfar Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2019
PET
Peterhead
2 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
56%
23%
20%
56 47 9 0
13 Aug. 2019
PET
Peterhead
0 - 0
Formartine United
FOR
45%
24%
31%
56 50 6 0
10 Aug. 2019
EAS
East Fife
1 - 1
Peterhead
PET
31%
26%
43%
56 49 7 0
03 Aug. 2019
PET
Peterhead
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
50%
26%
24%
56 53 3 0
23 Jul. 2019
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Peterhead
PET
38%
24%
38%
57 55 2 -1

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2019
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 2
Livingston
LIV
28%
24%
48%
57 64 7 0
13 Aug. 2019
MON
Montrose
2 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
26%
24%
51%
57 50 7 0
10 Aug. 2019
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
69%
19%
12%
57 46 11 0
03 Aug. 2019
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
37%
27%
37%
56 52 4 +1
27 Jul. 2019
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
27%
24%
49%
56 65 9 0