EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-2
Peterborough United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
POS
1 - 1
BCF
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
POS
0 - 2
SWA
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
OLD
1 - 4
POS
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
LUT
0 - 0
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
POS
2 - 2
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 1
LUT
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
WYC
1 - 1
LUT
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
LUT
1 - 0
BOU
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
LUT
0 - 0
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WIG
2 - 1
LUT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |