Pesch vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
37
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 2
PES
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PES
1 - 1
SIE
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PES
6 - 0
BWF
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BFR
4 - 0
KON
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 2
BFR
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
5 - 2
BWF
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
BFR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |