Perugia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
UDI
1 - 1
PRG
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
PRG
2 - 0
PES
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
PRG
2 - 1
PES
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VIC
3 - 1
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
UDI
2 - 0
SSS
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
RIM
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SSS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 2
AVE
48%
30%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |