Perugia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 2
PRG
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
JUV
3 - 0
PRG
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PRG
0 - 5
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
INT
5 - 0
PRG
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
PRG
3 - 2
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 3
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |