Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 2-3
Perugia vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRG
0 - 0
RIM
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PRG
1 - 1
ARZ
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
PRG
12%
24%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PRG
3 - 0
OLB
81%
15%
5%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASL
0 - 1
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIM
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REC
4 - 1
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
PRG
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |