Perugia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PRG
1 - 2
LEC
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PRG
2 - 4
BEN
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 0
PRG
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CTT
2 - 2
ASC
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 3
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 2
CTT
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CTT
4 - 0
LIV
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CTT
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |