Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 3
PER
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MEL
6 - 2
PER
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
PER
4 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 0
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
WPH
3 - 1
BRI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 2
WPH
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 1
WPH
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WPH
0 - 1
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |