A-League round 12

Perth Glory vs Sydney FC analysis

Perth Glory Sydney FC
76 ELO 79
14% Tilt 17.2%
2334º General ELO ranking 973º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.3%
Perth Glory
24.6%
Draw
39.2%
Sydney FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Perth Glory
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.1%
Win probability
Sydney FC
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perth Glory
-23%
+7%
Sydney FC

ELO progression

Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perth Glory
Perth Glory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2019
BRI
Brisbane Roar
2 - 4
Perth Glory
PER
22%
24%
53%
75 64 11 0
31 Dec. 2018
CCM
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 4
Perth Glory
PER
19%
23%
59%
74 59 15 +1
21 Dec. 2018
PER
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
38%
25%
38%
75 79 4 -1
16 Dec. 2018
NEW
Newcastle Jets
0 - 2
Perth Glory
PER
29%
26%
45%
74 67 7 +1
08 Dec. 2018
PER
Perth Glory
1 - 0
Melbourne City
MCI
49%
23%
28%
74 72 2 0

Matches

Sydney FC
Sydney FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2019
SYD
Sydney FC
5 - 2
Central Coast Mariners
CCM
76%
16%
8%
79 58 21 0
29 Dec. 2018
SYD
Sydney FC
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar
BRI
69%
19%
12%
79 64 15 0
21 Dec. 2018
PER
Perth Glory
1 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
38%
25%
38%
79 75 4 0
15 Dec. 2018
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 - 3
Sydney FC
SYD
31%
25%
44%
79 71 8 0
08 Dec. 2018
SYD
Sydney FC
1 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
69%
19%
12%
79 64 15 0