Perth Glory vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 1
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
PER
2 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
PER
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
PER
5 - 0
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
PER
2 - 1
PAP
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
SFC
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
SFC
1 - 0
SYD
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 0
SFC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SFC
0 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |