Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
12º
12º
21
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 57.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 2
MEL
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
21%
22%
57%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
AFC
82%
11%
6%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
SYD
3 - 0
PER
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CCM
2 - 2
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
WUF
2 - 2
CCM
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WES
1 - 3
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SYD
4 - 1
CCM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |