Perth Glory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
PAP
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PAP
4 - 2
PER
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -3 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 4
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ADE
2 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BRI
4 - 1
ADE
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ADE
3 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SFC
2 - 1
ADE
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
ADE
0 - 2
PAP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |