Pergolettese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 3
PER
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
SCA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
GRU
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
PER
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PER
0 - 1
VIR
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 2
PSM
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
VBE
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
5 - 0
OLG
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |