Peralta vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peralta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1997 |
PER
1 - 10
AND
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
FIG
2 - 3
PER
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PER
1 - 3
LAL
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
PER
0 - 3
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
TER
3 - 0
PER
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1997 |
FRA
4 - 5
ICF
79%
15%
7%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ICF
4 - 2
EPI
67%
19%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
BIN
2 - 1
ICF
84%
11%
4%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ICF
1 - 1
EJE
43%
27%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
SAR
1 - 1
ICF
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |