PEPO vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
KUF
2 - 2
PEP
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
PEP
0 - 1
JAP
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
GNI
1 - 0
PEP
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
PEP
1 - 2
MIK
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
PEP
48%
21%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
JAP
5 - 1
KAP
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
KAP
2 - 0
GNI
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MIK
1 - 1
KAP
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
KAP
2 - 2
FCV
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
KUL
1 - 0
KAP
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |