Penya Independent vs Luchador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 4
PIN
8%
14%
78%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PUI
0 - 4
PIN
6%
12%
83%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PIN
9 - 1
PUI
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
7 - 1
PES
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PES
1 - 6
PIN
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 4
PIN
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PES
74%
15%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PES
0 - 5
LUC
34%
21%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BSA
3 - 3
LUC
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
2 - 0
BSA
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |