Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
42
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
UEE
2 - 3
PEN
28%
20%
52%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 2
LAM
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
UEE
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 3
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 1
FCS
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |