Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
42
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
UEE
2 - 3
PEN
28%
20%
52%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 2
LAM
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
UEE
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UES
2 - 3
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 1
UES
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UES
0 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UES
1 - 1
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
UES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |