Pennarossa vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TPE
0 - 1
PEN
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 2
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 2
FIO
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
VIR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |