Pennarossa vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEN
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
SGI
62%
22%
15%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 4
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +4 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
JUV
20%
21%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 3
TFI
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |