Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 4-1
Pennarossa vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
DOM
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |