Peñarol vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 1
PEÑ
29%
28%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 3
PEÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 0
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |