Peñarol vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |