Peñarol vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DAN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 4
PEÑ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CSY
1 - 3
PEÑ
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
PLA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
MWA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 2
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 0
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |