Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
PEÑ
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
3 - 1
PEÑ
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |