Peñarol vs CD Everest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
EVE
0 - 5
PEÑ
21%
21%
59%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1962 |
SAN
3 - 0
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1962 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEÑ
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Everest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
EVE
0 - 5
PEÑ
21%
21%
59%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |