Peñarol vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1976 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
IND
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1976 |
RIV
3 - 0
PEÑ
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1976 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
COL
1 - 1
BOC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
BOC
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
5 - 1
ALB
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOC
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
3 - 2
IND
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |