Peñarol vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
MWA
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PUM
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
0 - 2
PEÑ
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
BOL
5 - 2
PEÑ
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
JWI
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
BOL
5 - 2
PEÑ
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 0
MBB
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |