Penafiel vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
ACV
2 - 0
PEN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BOA
2 - 0
PEN
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ESP
1 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 0
VST
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 3
SCP
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |