Prev. Taça da Liga 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Penafiel vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
PEN
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIZ
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAT
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 2
TRO
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |