Penafiel vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEN
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
4 - 1
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
GFC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 1
GFC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |