Primeira Liga Jor. 17

Penafiel vs Beira Mar SC analysis

Penafiel Beira Mar SC
66 ELO 71
-19.2% Tilt -7.1%
2449º General ELO ranking 5595º
37º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
39.1%
Penafiel
29.5%
Draw
31.4%
Beira Mar SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
Penafiel
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.4%
Win probability
Beira Mar SC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penafiel
+1%
-33%
Beira Mar SC

ELO progression

Penafiel
Beira Mar SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 1991
SLB
Benfica
1 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
77%
16%
7%
66 88 22 0
22 Dec. 1991
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
43%
31%
27%
65 70 5 +1
08 Dec. 1991
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
54%
25%
21%
65 65 0 0
01 Dec. 1991
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
16%
29%
55%
65 88 23 0
24 Nov. 1991
CHA
Chaves
1 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
65%
21%
14%
66 72 6 -1

Matches

Beira Mar SC
Beira Mar SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 1991
BMA
Beira Mar SC
2 - 0
União Madeira
UNM
55%
27%
18%
71 63 8 0
22 Dec. 1991
FAR
Farense
0 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
52%
25%
22%
71 70 1 0
08 Dec. 1991
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
76%
16%
8%
71 88 17 0
01 Dec. 1991
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
49%
29%
22%
71 71 0 0
24 Nov. 1991
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
51%
25%
24%
71 66 5 0
X