Peña Sport vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 2
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BUR
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SDA
4 - 1
PEÑ
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
53%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDV
1 - 1
PEÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 2
RAC
15%
25%
60%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 1
MIR
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEA
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
LEA
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
ARE
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |