Peña Sport vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
AZK
2 - 4
PEÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
TUD
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AGO
3 - 1
PEÑ
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
IZA
66%
22%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MIR
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 3
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
PON
35%
30%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PON
1 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |