Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Penya Deportiva vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PXD
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PXD
2 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BNS
0 - 0
PXD
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PXD
0 - 0
MLL
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SLL
0 - 2
PXD
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PXD
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
REC
2 - 3
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BUÑ
0 - 2
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
BEN
70%
18%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |