Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-4
Penya Deportiva vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1994 |
PXD
0 - 0
GIM
22%
31%
47%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
YEC
2 - 1
PXD
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
ALC
3 - 2
PXD
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
PXD
1 - 1
FCA
26%
30%
44%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
GRA
4 - 0
PXD
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
GIM
1 - 1
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CAS
0 - 0
FIG
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BEN
0 - 4
CAS
32%
31%
38%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
CAS
2 - 0
ONT
74%
18%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
VAL
1 - 4
CAS
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |