Peñacastillo vs Union club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 1
PEÑ
42%
23%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
BUE
34%
22%
44%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAR
8 - 0
PEÑ
71%
16%
13%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ADC
53%
19%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
RSC
5 - 2
PEÑ
63%
18%
19%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOC
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
2 - 1
UNI
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 0
SMA
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
5 - 0
OFC
77%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |