Pelotas vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PAS
3 - 2
PEL
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AIM
1 - 0
PEL
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 1
SCI
12%
21%
68%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 2
PEL
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 4
VER
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
LAJ
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |