Pedras Rubras vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
PED
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PED
0 - 3
RDA
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
PED
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PED
1 - 1
AMA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
5 - 0
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
COI
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
4 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
12%
83%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 5
LUS
21%
25%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |