Peña Compadres vs CD Casabermeja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LEP
4 - 3
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 2
UMB
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
5 - 1
LAU
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Casabermeja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
PTO
37%
25%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CDL
2 - 4
CDC
51%
24%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CDC
4 - 4
COI
20%
24%
56%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDC
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CDC
5 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |