Apertura Bolivia round 19

La Paz FC vs Aurora analysis

La Paz FC Aurora
54 ELO 62
16.4% Tilt 12.4%
22350º General ELO ranking 1206º
44º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.9%
La Paz FC
24.7%
Draw
37.4%
Aurora

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
La Paz FC
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
Aurora
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

La Paz FC
Aurora
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Paz FC
La Paz FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2012
JWI
Jorge Wilstermann
0 - 0
La Paz FC
LAP
68%
19%
13%
55 64 9 0
18 Nov. 2012
LAP
La Paz FC
1 - 3
The Strongest
STR
21%
24%
55%
55 73 18 0
11 Nov. 2012
LAP
La Paz FC
0 - 2
Nacional Potosí
NAC
40%
25%
35%
56 62 6 -1
08 Nov. 2012
RPO
Real Potosí
4 - 2
La Paz FC
LAP
71%
18%
12%
56 66 10 0
04 Nov. 2012
LAP
La Paz FC
3 - 4
Oriente Petrolero
OPE
30%
25%
46%
57 68 11 -1

Matches

Aurora
Aurora
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2012
STR
The Strongest
7 - 2
Aurora
AUR
76%
15%
9%
62 73 11 0
18 Nov. 2012
AUR
Aurora
2 - 4
Nacional Potosí
NAC
51%
24%
25%
63 63 0 -1
11 Nov. 2012
AUR
Aurora
0 - 2
San José Oruro
SAN
35%
26%
39%
63 71 8 0
08 Nov. 2012
UNI
Club Universitario
3 - 3
Aurora
AUR
53%
25%
23%
63 68 5 0
04 Nov. 2012
AUR
Aurora
0 - 3
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
54%
24%
22%
64 64 0 -1