Paysandu vs Humaitá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
PAY
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 0
FFL
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 0
NAU
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
6 - 0
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 4
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
RIO
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 2
SCH
13%
17%
69%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -2 |