Paysandu vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAY
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
LON
0 - 0
PAY
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TAP
2 - 3
CAS
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAS
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |