Pau FC vs Stade Montois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 1
CAN
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 0
ROD
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 0
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAU
5 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 1
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
MON
46%
26%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
GAP
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GDB
1 - 4
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |