Pau FC II vs Onet Le Château analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
8º
4º
30
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 3
FCP
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
CRF
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCP
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 2
LES
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 4
ONE
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
GDB
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COL
3 - 0
ONE
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 2
STA
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |