Primera Nacional round 32

Patronato vs Banfield analysis

Patronato Banfield
69 ELO 71
0.6% Tilt -14.7%
725º General ELO ranking 205º
40º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Patronato
27.2%
Draw
28.9%
Banfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
Patronato
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.9%
Win probability
Banfield
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Patronato
-14%
-9%
Banfield

ELO progression

Patronato
Banfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Patronato
Patronato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2013
HUR
CA Huracán
0 - 0
Patronato
PAT
50%
27%
23%
69 68 1 0
22 Apr. 2013
PAT
Patronato
1 - 0
Boca Unidos
BUC
44%
26%
30%
68 69 1 +1
14 Apr. 2013
SAR
Sarmiento
4 - 3
Patronato
PAT
46%
29%
25%
69 68 1 -1
08 Apr. 2013
PAT
Patronato
1 - 2
Deportivo Merlo
MER
67%
21%
12%
69 61 8 0
30 Mar. 2013
CEN
Rosario Central
2 - 0
Patronato
PAT
60%
25%
16%
70 78 8 -1

Matches

Banfield
Banfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2013
BAN
Banfield
0 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
57%
25%
19%
72 69 3 0
22 Apr. 2013
OLI
Olimpo
0 - 0
Banfield
BAN
54%
25%
21%
72 76 4 0
16 Apr. 2013
BAN
Banfield
3 - 1
Nueva Chicago
CHI
68%
20%
12%
71 59 12 +1
11 Apr. 2013
BAN
Banfield
0 - 0
Instituto
INS
50%
25%
25%
72 70 2 -1
02 Apr. 2013
HUR
CA Huracán
1 - 1
Banfield
BAN
42%
28%
31%
72 68 4 0