Patronato II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 0
PAT
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 0
ALD
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
PAT
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
HUR
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
4 - 1
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 1
SAR
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
4 - 2
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 2
SAR
43%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |