Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 0-6
Patriotas Boyacá vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 3
IND
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 3
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
BUC
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |